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Prediction for CME (2026-07-20T19:53:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2026-07-20T19:53Z
DONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/47691/-1
CME Note: [Preliminary] The arrival of this CME was not clearly detected at L1. Thin, faint CME observed to the NE in STEREO A COR2 only, likely due to the GOES CCOR-1 occulting disk and real-time SOHO LASCO C2/C3 downlink gap (but also may be blocked by its occulting disk). The source is likely AR 14493, associated with an M1.1 flare in SDO AIA 131 peaking at 2026-07-30T19:20Z, also observed as brightening and field line movement in SDO AIA 171/193 and field line movement in STEREO A EUVI 195 near its east limb around 2026-07-20T19:55Z.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-07-23T07:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.
Lead Time: 54.97 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-07-21T00:02Z
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